I am not an expert in infectious diseases, but I did sleep in a Holiday Inn Express last night... Seriously, though, I do have a certificate from the Real World Risk Institute [1] which I believe makes me a kind-of "anti-expert" [2] in infectious diseases and other things related to complex domains (economics, sociology, synthetic biology, psychology, medicine, diet, exercise, etc.). As an"anti-expert" — or more colloquially refere...

To shake up my thinking and expose myself to highly-believable people, I attended the two-day program at Nassim Taleb’s – Real World Risk Institute.You can find my daily notes here. Cleaned up digital version of my notes here. What follows is my thinking on wealth inspired by what was presented. Mistakes are my own. I can hear things differently than what was actually spoken, so don’t assume my attributions are strictly accurate. To ...